Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1118.024293 1268.546295 1435.684108 1635.710598 1869.469067 2135.060576 2461.154032
2025-08-31 891.761400 1090.761837 1332.389722 1650.218301 2061.480395 2581.458167 3297.899405
2025-09-07 776.972077 997.389382 1281.049287 1678.428234 2229.713252 2981.039748 4106.328367
2025-09-14 669.641824 891.623684 1190.267943 1629.620437 2273.644952 3206.115854 4702.295464
2025-09-21 588.772122 808.040297 1114.158154 1583.523281 2304.822191 3405.754723 5283.809475
2025-09-28 522.141458 735.236424 1042.284015 1530.192865 2311.610123 3561.446427 5814.719450
2025-10-05 494.760686 715.262152 1043.497097 1584.853368 2490.485400 4013.349182 6929.131065
2025-10-12 464.372397 686.982225 1027.991827 1609.356491 2620.831523 4401.183260 8005.885443
2025-10-19 436.595794 659.576962 1010.226395 1626.585766 2738.931921 4783.218282 9150.578997
2025-10-26 411.792269 634.270088 992.739224 1641.138065 2852.521735 5172.732381 10395.115778
2025-11-02 395.511596 621.072429 993.469966 1686.825812 3028.776832 5711.108815 12088.341584
2025-11-09 376.492804 601.494369 981.174715 1706.825183 3157.324754 6173.198890 13721.496853
2025-11-16 356.881156 579.989838 964.748226 1719.642424 3278.657957 6653.575785 15563.805195
2025-11-23 338.434481 559.073155 947.595150 1729.461309 3396.463108 7151.780364 17611.867062
2025-11-30 324.642738 545.098888 941.492410 1759.874557 3562.245445 7792.441995 20254.337319
2025-12-07 301.515355 512.424092 897.594612 1708.206701 3537.755990 7968.262633 21599.244081
2025-12-14 280.947195 482.929038 857.248150 1659.487640 3513.015076 8138.977047 22986.815103
2025-12-21 261.327266 453.836989 815.369389 1603.133728 3462.624942 8234.397045 24167.949196
2025-12-28 256.096476 451.468776 825.582862 1660.892792 3696.349329 9142.232089 28454.451857
2026-01-04 247.750732 442.474851 821.718283 1686.791407 3854.925981 9876.329523 32430.383935
2026-01-11 239.198232 432.444287 814.856153 1705.004296 3996.682559 10594.277542 36666.750260
2026-01-18 230.951388 422.428251 807.169118 1720.388895 4133.537672 11330.225407 41328.991194
2026-01-25 226.157632 418.984323 813.006708 1768.698581 4368.629904 12437.101526 48192.874285